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2015 MLB Draft - 8-10 June
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 153143" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Here's the percentage of HS draftees last year who went to the NCAA. No one in the high rounds goes to the NCAA. Once you get to the 20th round, about 60% go. Basically, if our guys get drafted above the 20th round we are s.c.r.e.w.e.d. </p><p></p><p>I think there is a lot of selection bias in the numbers; if someone is drafted high it is because they indicated a willingness to accept to the MLB. Kel was an example of selection bias last year in that he was very highly rated by PerfectGame but not drafted. The reported reason: he would only go to the Braves high or GT. So no one drafted him.</p><p></p><p>So if on draft day we see our recruits get drafted high, it means they will probably never make it to GT. Not a good Present Value decision for them given the odds of making the MLB, but the glamour of the game outweighs the financial aspect. Data from <a href="http://www.thebaseballcube.com/draft/research.asp" target="_blank">http://www.thebaseballcube.com/draft/research.asp</a> </p><p><img src="https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/fc9c/f2cuezlg6hlmii66g.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 153143, member: 322"] Here's the percentage of HS draftees last year who went to the NCAA. No one in the high rounds goes to the NCAA. Once you get to the 20th round, about 60% go. Basically, if our guys get drafted above the 20th round we are s.c.r.e.w.e.d. I think there is a lot of selection bias in the numbers; if someone is drafted high it is because they indicated a willingness to accept to the MLB. Kel was an example of selection bias last year in that he was very highly rated by PerfectGame but not drafted. The reported reason: he would only go to the Braves high or GT. So no one drafted him. So if on draft day we see our recruits get drafted high, it means they will probably never make it to GT. Not a good Present Value decision for them given the odds of making the MLB, but the glamour of the game outweighs the financial aspect. Data from [URL]http://www.thebaseballcube.com/draft/research.asp[/URL] [IMG]https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/fc9c/f2cuezlg6hlmii66g.jpg[/IMG] [/QUOTE]
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2015 MLB Draft - 8-10 June
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