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Good post, but I would make this caveat. Most of the college football programs in the country don't make money. The main ones that do - and not all of them make a whole lot - are the P5 programs. And, of course, the programs at Div 3 schools are a substantial burden on the institutions...

This business with the foreign students is … bizarre. The administration says it wants to "Make America Great Again". One of the things that has made us great is our unparalleled post-secondary education. The US is #1 with a bullet in this. One of the main reasons is that we have large numbers...

Ai, Caramba! See: https://www.ajc.com/blog/further-review/when-nick-markakis-opts-out-question-everything/yRIas0myXfkrsVd7MCdhzM/?utm_source=Iterable&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=campaign_1342827 Ok, it isn't football, but if Nick decides he isn't going to play after visiting Freddy, you have...

It tells us a lot about football too. See: https://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2020/07/what-football-teaches-us.html Yeah. A lot of the time we look at recruiting rankings and think that's the end of the story. But you can have great recruiting, year upon year, and...

I doubt this will impact decisions to cancel fall sports, but it will change how they ar coached and conducted. See...

It's well known that Leonardo's The Last Supper has deteriorated beyond repair. The original fresco was painted, for reasons known only to Leonardo and God, on a dry surface and has been flaking away ever since. Clumsy restoration efforts haven't helped. However - and I didn't know this -...

Well, it's like I told my son when he went to law school at Tulane. "Son," I said, "remember that you are at school at Tulane, not at New Orleans." I said exactly the same thing when he transferred to NYU, but about New York. Didn't work then either. But you can't beat an education in the Big...

The other news service was the INS. It was a premier news service for decades, but had started to lose ground to UP/AP by the early '50s. (It merged with UP to become UPI in 1958.) Several other services/rating agencies also tapped the Jackets, including what became Sagarin. Tech's title for...

Ok, now read pages 4 and 5, the part where they describe their data. The dataset of weekly customer visits - what their analysis is based on - runs from March 1 to May 16. They used data that included before SIP, after SIP, and local SIP orders; they emphasize county SIPs as well. As you will...

Good post, but I think the simpler solution is to either delay the season until next spring (if we have a vaccine) or punt the whole business until next year. I don't think anybody is going to be pleased by a no fans in the stands approach and getting parties together to watch the games and yell...

Read pages 5 to 7 again. Then look at the tables. And remember that the graphs are of regression estimates of logged visits to businesses per week and of raw data of same. You seem to be thinking that the regular time series graphs you've seen are the same thing. They aren't.

The actual sentence should read: "… i.e. that the bottom fell out of consumer demand in leisure and entertainment before any shutdown and continued falling until states began to take their foot off the pedal." My bad.

Read pages 5 - 7 again. Goolsby and Syverson's explanation of the effects they estimated in Table 1 shows why they said what they did and why they did more then look at the graphs of logged visits. The Appendix Table they provide is also informative. This has absolutely nothing to do with...

Something to consider: https://ideas.repec.org/a/ucp/amjhec/v2y2016i1p125-143.html Short paper: Having a team in the Super Bowl (i.e. well into flu season) increases flu deaths in the teams's cities by 18% for fans over 65. That's 18%. The reason = people are getting together in groups inside...

On the shutdown and its effects, see: https://www.nber.org/papers/w27432.pdf Yet another study that uses cell phone records to track movement and a "quasi-experimental" research design. The abstract tells the story. Short paper: people quit going to "leisure and entertainment" businesses...

Almost all of these measures (the business about only one person leaving a house would, I think, be out) would be constitutional in the U.S. under a national emergency declaration. We don't do this kind of thing because we have a political culture that doesn't like the government to try it...

Yes, by at least 14 points.

I would have named J.P. Foschi as the TE and tied him with Billy Martin. On the OL I would have included Rufus Guthrie and Billy Shields. On D, I would have gone with the Rock and Ted Davis.

See: https://mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2020/06/locking-down-too-late-but-ending.html This is Simon Wren-Lewis on why they are having trouble with keeping demand up in the UK, but the logic applies everywhere. The countries that locked down until they had things under control and had really...

You missed the point of the article. It's gatherings outside and with people moving and wearing masks, a collection of new situations. Remember when the first warnings were given? When it was cold outside and people were gathering inside. I think your problem is that you want infallible advice...