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If ESPN differentiates between a home game at MBS and a home game at BDS, that's pretty nuanced in my opinion. Also, I've never seen a well-reasoned assessment of a team's win chance % difference with or without a bye.

Do you or anyone else know what is going on with our RB situation? We were glad to see Alexander back in the VMI game. Carrie played against VMI as well. Neither participated in the Louisville game.

Agree. Duke is undefeated but with no impressive wins. As is typical, they have one of the P4's weakest opening schedules before starting ACC play. UNC should beat them unless the elite TFG defense shows up again.

Thanks - and I should have explained my "Strength of Record" grade a bit more. Basically, it's just my take on how they have performed as a team so far this season. There is no complex math formula involved, but I did examine each win and loss, and the strength of the competition for each...

Perhaps, but I would be surprised if ESPN's algorithm is that nuanced.

I'm not sure why ESPN gives us a higher win probability against Miami than against ND. Both are home games, and ESPN's FPI ranks Miami slightly ahead of ND. I don't have access to their SP+ rankings, which could favor ND. ND has a better win than Miami (TAMU) but obviously a much worse loss...

I weighed Vandy's loss to GSU against their taking #11 Missouri to overtime on the road, losing on a missed field goal. Regardless, I can accept that VT's strength of record is a bit less than ours. Your last comment has a Captain Obvious vibe, but thanks for sharing your thoughts.

There are four teams on our remaining schedule that are under serious consideration as probable wins. I looked at each team's record in detail and assigned each a letter grade for Strength of Record. I threw in Notre Dame for good measure since they have a G5 loss. It’s still early season for...

Blackburn is listed in the participation report, but did not record any stats.

The current top 5 SEC teams face each other a lot in the regular season, starting next weekend. Even without upsets, there will be some shakeups in the rankings. I suspect some of the SEC's highly ranked teams are there because the AP thinks they are really good, but don't have enough data to...

Your comment brings to mind a general concern. Rather than adding things to our offensive toolbox that could address our shortfalls and exploit other teams’ defensive tactics, Key’s response after losses is to focus on “fixing” execution problems on our core plays. When we face superior talent...

My thoughts: If you subtract the 25% odds granted to Louisville just for being Louisville, the game was close to even or in our favor into the fourth until the kick-6. It's obvious from the abysmal EPA/Rush, but if you subtract Jamal's nice 17-yard run from his 12 carries, the other 11 netted...

I'd rate your post a 3 out of 10 for its ability to talk a fan off the ledge. ;)

I agree with @MonroeJacket's assessment but also concur with @tomknight's point that despite being an expected 3-2, the losses were both very winnable games. The FSU win led to higher expectations, thus the frustration. Does that mean we are actually a better team than most predicted before...

For a change, I can't blame this loss on our defense. Holding an offense averaging over 50 points a game to only 17 should be enough to win.

He probably has "record-breaking coach" on his resume.

Also, Clemson gonna be putting in their 3rd-string kicker as QB soon. Haven't watched but they seem to be scoring at will. NCST playing backup QB against a pretty good defense, not going well.

I thought maybe JMU is really good again this year - they only lost 1 regular season game last year. Then I saw that they just eked out a win last week against Gardner-Webb, 13-6. So not like they are an offensive juggernaut. I don't know if Collins is just mailing it in or if he is actively...

Interestingly, some fans attributed the Syracuse loss to our offense, some to both offense and defense, and one even blamed it on our kicker. I'm leaning toward your take that our most significant shortfall contributing to the loss is due to our defense being unable to get stops on third and...

I had a similar thought watching Stanford-Syracuse last night. Then I had a crazy thought - what if Cal and Stanford met in the championship game? Improbable, but not impossible. It would be the most ACC-like thing to happen.