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  1. slugboy

    Pray for the panhandle, S GA

    Milton is back up to Cat 5 status. Still looks like Tampa or Sarasota. It could turn south, though. The evacuation starting on Monday led to big traffic jams https://www.tampabay.com/hurricane/2024/10/07/tampa-bay-traffic-jams-thousands-evacuate-before-hurricane-milton/
  2. slugboy

    Game 7 #GTvsUNC Media

    https://www.dailytarheel.com/article/2024/10/sports-column-mack-brown-era At 3-3, UNC fandom is pessimistic
  3. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    For what it's worth, 65 is average. PFF scales their grades to a 100 point scales, with 65 as the average. As a range, you might see 60-70 as an "average" block, 50-60 as below average, below 50 as poor, 70-80 as above average, and above 80 as exceptional. The defensive grades are at...
  4. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    https://www.si.com/college/georgiatech/football/pff-grades-for-every-offensive-player-on-georgia-tech-in-their-win-vs-duke-01j9h211vg4y LT Corey Robinson- 73.5 (83) LG Joe Fusile- 70.4 (83) RG Keylan Rutledge- 69.5 (83) RT Jordan Williams- 69.4 (83) C Weston Franklin- 69.0 (83) TE Jackson...
  5. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    I think the story of those games will be about those defenses against Duke's weak offense. After a while, their defense will fail because their offense gets shut out.
  6. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    I thought they looked solid. They tackled well They are opponent adjusted 👍🏼
  7. slugboy

    Tech @ UNC (Oct. 12th) - Noon Kickoff

    I looked to see if UNC had faced a defense like ours. Their scores are all over the place, but just about every defense they’ve faced has been a top-50 defense, and a lot in the top 30. Charlotte and NCCU aren’t anything to write home about, but Minnesota, Duke, Pitt, and JMU all have decent...
  8. slugboy

    Mutts

    I’m posting this because it’s going to come up. This looks sick— let’s treat this seriously and keep it focused on the individual (Colbie Young) He was arrested for assaulting a pregnant woman this morning On ESPN now—misdemeanor charges currently...
  9. slugboy

    Tech @ UNC (Oct. 12th) - Noon Kickoff

    Holstein threw for 301 and ran for 59 against WVU. He threw for 302 and ran for 36 against Cincy. I think those are Holstein kinds of numbers. I watched some of the UNC V Minnesota game, and was glad a fellow ACC team won, but wasn't super impressed. I haven't watched them much since then. I...
  10. slugboy

    Tech @ UNC (Oct. 12th) - Noon Kickoff

    TFC did get asked a lot of “is there bad blood?” questions and personal questions. He didn’t seem to seek them out. They did go on a little long. I didn’t get much of an idea of what they are doing on defense, other than being close now.
  11. slugboy

    Tech @ UNC (Oct. 12th) - Noon Kickoff

    Sometimes they say something useful. For example, it's not just perception that we run the ball more often than other teams would--we really do. Most of the models favored us over Duke, but a few didn't. I don't think any did over FSU, and that was from last year's data. They implied the (Duke)...
  12. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    Kelly Ford projections--the Duke win was big. Last week, the odds were that we wouldn't go bowling. This week, odds look very good. Winning over UNC would be HUGE https://kfordratings.com/projections Very good offense (poor other stuff) Overall, he's got us at #49 (Duke didn't really...
  13. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    At this point in the season, last year's stats should be cleaned out. Here's Massey's Ratings, though--always just for this season. FSU is 14th out of 17. Offense is horrid. Team Record Δ Rat Pwr Off Def HFA SoS SSF EW EL Miami FL Atlantic Coast 6-0 1.000 1 8.53 3 65.99 2 63.56 10 29.68...
  14. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    I was fighting Excel earlier. I had them in the table when everything was a date. The Louisville loss was understandable--we should have beaten Syracuse, though. Their defense isn't special, but we made it look special. Their offense is respectable, but we made it look way too good. I shared...
  15. slugboy

    Tech @ UNC (Oct. 12th) - Noon Kickoff

    CFB Graphs/CFB Insiders/Parker Flemming game prediction--GT by about 1 point: https://www.collegefootballinsiders.com/matchup_preview/?team1=Georgia%20Tech&team2=North%20Carolina RROE is "Rush Rate over Expected", and we run the ball more often that the average team.
  16. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    If we look at defense, we're near the bottom, with UNC and Wake: Rk Team Rec FBS FEI Column1 OFEI Rk2 DFEI Rk3 SFEI Rk4 10 Notre Dame 4-1 4-1 0.81 0.19 28 0.67 1 -0.01 79 9 Clemson 4-1 4-1 0.83 0.41 11 0.46 15 -0.01 70 22 SMU 5-1 4-1 0.55 0.16 32 0.32 24 0.09 12 42 California...
  17. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    If we look at offense, we're #4 in the ACC: Rk Team Rec FBS FEI Column1 OFEI Rk2 DFEI Rk3 SFEI Rk4 14 Miami 6-0 5-0 0.74 0.5 7 0.23 35 0 64 9 Clemson 4-1 4-1 0.83 0.41 11 0.46 15 -0.01 70 23 Louisville 3-2 2-2 0.55 0.31 16 0.17 45 0.06 22 57 Georgia Tech 4-2 3-2 0.15 0.27 19...
  18. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    Here are the FEI rankings--teams we've played, ACC teams, Ohio State (just because they're first), Georgia State (we played 'em), Colorado (by accident), Liberty (crazy high NIL, no schedule, and Jamey Chadwell), and Vandy (because they just beat Bama): Rk Team Rec FBS FEI Column1 OFEI Rk2...
  19. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    Here's a mid year check-in. First, how's our QB doing? Freakin' awesome. The surprise to me is that Klubnik is having the year he's having. ESPN QBR: RK Name QBR 1 Cam Ward MIA 91.2...
  20. slugboy

    Tech @ UNC (Oct. 12th) - Noon Kickoff

    Here is the Duke v UNC game Pitt v UNC
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