I’ve peppered various thread with kind of high level, maybe interesting but not actually explanatory or predictive type stat-y posts and figured … why stop now?
Here’s 2pt% in conference play from last season for the core 11 (obviously, for most transfers, that’s not the ACC): Claude 51.3, (acc average 50.6), Reeves 50.6, Douwuona 46.9, Sturdivant 46.7, Coleman 44.6, Moore 44.1, Kelly 43.3, Terry 40.5, Abram 38.4, Forrest 36.7, Gapare 26.5
3pt% (leaving out people with <10 att): Terry 42.1, Kelly 38.4, (acc average 34.8), Forrest 34.2, Abram 32.8, Coleman 31.6, Sturdivant 30.3, Gapare 20.7, Reeves 19.7, Moore 17.4
Ft%: Kelly 93.5, Sturdivant 75.8, (acc average 75.0), Forrest 75.0, Reeves 74.4, Terry 74.2, Claude 73.3, Coleman 67.6, Abram 66.7, Moore 66.0, Gapare 63.3, Dowuona 50.0
Effective FG% (bonus credit for threes being worth more than twos): Kelly 52.1, Claude 51.9, Terry 51.6, (acc average 51.2), Dowuona 46.9, Coleman 46.5, Sturdivant 46.1, Forrest 43.1, Abram 43.1, Moore 40.5, Reeves 40.5, Gapare 28.6
True Shooting Percentage (ropes in free throws too, the “best” of these five numbers for shooting efficiency): Claude 56.9, Kelly 54.7, (acc average 54.2), Terry 53.9, Forrest 50.3, Sturdivant 49.0, Coleman 48.6, Dowuona 47.5, Moore 45.7, Reeves 45.1, Abram 44.3, Gapare 35.6
We were last in conference play last year in four of these last year (all but three point percentage) and portend to do the same, absent growth, workload, and system changes (all of which will happen). To be clear - shooting percentages are the aftermath of tools and skills and process and luck and other things - but I do want to tamp down some of the 23-24 optimism. I like a lot of our moves, but there’s a lot that CDS and the rest of the staff and these kids will need to do to get us where we want to be.
Fingers crossed!