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When does Pastner feel heat
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<blockquote data-quote="leatherneckjacket" data-source="post: 938287" data-attributes="member: 3849"><p>Lazy? Excuse me.</p><p></p><p>Look you can try to explain it any way you want, but there are clear trends over his seven years. If we merely lost or won by the margins expected, we would not see the significant shifts (up and down) in our KenPom ranking as we have experienced over the years. Even if we had an upset loss or two, we would not see the significant drop if those were also offset by similar upset wins. Regardless of your individual year by year explanation, we tend to trend in one direction from November to February and then another direction in the last month of the season.</p><p></p><p>Also, seeing a 10% or more shift in ranking in the last month of the season is absolutely pretty significant and suggests a sudden change in performance. It also cannot be explained by our schedule getting easier, as the rating would not change much if we won or lost by the expected margin. The shift is due to our winning games at the end that we were expected to lose based on our prior performance.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="leatherneckjacket, post: 938287, member: 3849"] Lazy? Excuse me. Look you can try to explain it any way you want, but there are clear trends over his seven years. If we merely lost or won by the margins expected, we would not see the significant shifts (up and down) in our KenPom ranking as we have experienced over the years. Even if we had an upset loss or two, we would not see the significant drop if those were also offset by similar upset wins. Regardless of your individual year by year explanation, we tend to trend in one direction from November to February and then another direction in the last month of the season. Also, seeing a 10% or more shift in ranking in the last month of the season is absolutely pretty significant and suggests a sudden change in performance. It also cannot be explained by our schedule getting easier, as the rating would not change much if we won or lost by the expected margin. The shift is due to our winning games at the end that we were expected to lose based on our prior performance. [/QUOTE]
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