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<blockquote data-quote="gtbeak" data-source="post: 947226" data-attributes="member: 3164"><p>I don't think a sweep of UVa puts us in unconditionally. If we sweep UVa but then go 0-2 at DBAP, that puts us at 15-17 in ACC games, with an RPI probably in the 30's. I don't think that will put us across the line. My guess is that we can lose one more game of the next 6, but not 2. We might could have 2 losses if one is against Mercer tomorrow (I don't think that game counts quite as much for resume purposes), but I think we must either sweep UVa or make the ACC semis. Without one of those, our resume looks very similar to the 2022 NC State resume (actually a little worse), and as FittedJacket pointed out in the other thread, they didn't get in last year.</p><p></p><p>One other "monkey wrench" in this that may help us is that both NC State and Louisville are ahead of us in RPI. I see no way Louisville makes the NCAA without making the ACC tourney, and doubtful that NC State would without a big final 2 weeks. So, if you subscribe to the idea that certain conferences can expect a certain number of bids (the committee has always said not true), and that the ACCs floor is 8 teams, then one of Notre Dame (46 RPI), Tech, NC State, or Louisville gets that 8th spot. We might should root for BC over Notre Dame this weekend.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="gtbeak, post: 947226, member: 3164"] I don't think a sweep of UVa puts us in unconditionally. If we sweep UVa but then go 0-2 at DBAP, that puts us at 15-17 in ACC games, with an RPI probably in the 30's. I don't think that will put us across the line. My guess is that we can lose one more game of the next 6, but not 2. We might could have 2 losses if one is against Mercer tomorrow (I don't think that game counts quite as much for resume purposes), but I think we must either sweep UVa or make the ACC semis. Without one of those, our resume looks very similar to the 2022 NC State resume (actually a little worse), and as FittedJacket pointed out in the other thread, they didn't get in last year. One other "monkey wrench" in this that may help us is that both NC State and Louisville are ahead of us in RPI. I see no way Louisville makes the NCAA without making the ACC tourney, and doubtful that NC State would without a big final 2 weeks. So, if you subscribe to the idea that certain conferences can expect a certain number of bids (the committee has always said not true), and that the ACCs floor is 8 teams, then one of Notre Dame (46 RPI), Tech, NC State, or Louisville gets that 8th spot. We might should root for BC over Notre Dame this weekend. [/QUOTE]
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