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<blockquote data-quote="ibeattetris" data-source="post: 832018" data-attributes="member: 1175"><p>Here is a discussion on it: <a href="https://saiemgilani.github.io/cfbfastR/articles/college-football-expected-points-model-fundamentals-part-i.html" target="_blank">https://saiemgilani.github.io/cfbfastR/articles/college-football-expected-points-model-fundamentals-part-i.html</a></p><p></p><p>This graph shows how epa is affected by down and distance</p><p>[ATTACH=full]11428[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>EPA would be influenced by field position. Take for example a contrived example where your starting field position is always on the 1 yard line of your opponents side and you score a 1 yard TD every play. The difference between that one td and a one yard gain at another field position is massive.</p><p></p><p>I also could not tell from the graph, but epa is both an offense and defensive stat. Your defense forcing a turnover is a +epa event (as is a sack etc.).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ibeattetris, post: 832018, member: 1175"] Here is a discussion on it: [URL]https://saiemgilani.github.io/cfbfastR/articles/college-football-expected-points-model-fundamentals-part-i.html[/URL] This graph shows how epa is affected by down and distance [ATTACH type="full" width="313px" alt="1634247787086.png"]11428[/ATTACH] EPA would be influenced by field position. Take for example a contrived example where your starting field position is always on the 1 yard line of your opponents side and you score a 1 yard TD every play. The difference between that one td and a one yard gain at another field position is massive. I also could not tell from the graph, but epa is both an offense and defensive stat. Your defense forcing a turnover is a +epa event (as is a sack etc.). [/QUOTE]
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