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<blockquote data-quote="85Escape" data-source="post: 827403" data-attributes="member: 3560"><p>And that, I think, depends on if he wants the model to reflect current sentiment (predict what people feel is right) or be willing to be wildly variable early in the year as that is what the numbers are actually saying (but lose 'believability'...which is his main marketing 'reason to believe'.) I get <em>why</em> he does it that way, but it's weighting being believable over reflecting a slightly more objective reality. Or, in another way of saying it, is the model more reflective or predictive?</p><p></p><p>Anyway, like I said I'm not an analytics nerd so my opinion on this is about as valuable as a uGA grad's opinion on the sum of 2 and 3.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="85Escape, post: 827403, member: 3560"] And that, I think, depends on if he wants the model to reflect current sentiment (predict what people feel is right) or be willing to be wildly variable early in the year as that is what the numbers are actually saying (but lose 'believability'...which is his main marketing 'reason to believe'.) I get [I]why[/I] he does it that way, but it's weighting being believable over reflecting a slightly more objective reality. Or, in another way of saying it, is the model more reflective or predictive? Anyway, like I said I'm not an analytics nerd so my opinion on this is about as valuable as a uGA grad's opinion on the sum of 2 and 3. [/QUOTE]
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