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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 827390" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>Even if SP+ wasn’t using a pre-season weight based on last year, we’d have 1 loss to NIU, a win against KSU (where KSU was fighting pretty hard despite the score), an 8 point loss to a 2-loss Clemson, and one good win against a 2-loss UNC. </p><p>It’ll take multiple wins to move our ratings and predictions up, which makes sense because right now we’re trying to get bowl-eligible.</p><p></p><p>The model is just now starting to figure out who played who—there’s not enough information this season to compare a Washington State against a Georgia Tech. </p><p></p><p>2-2 should have us in the middle of an unbiased but not strongly connected model, right?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 827390, member: 282"] Even if SP+ wasn’t using a pre-season weight based on last year, we’d have 1 loss to NIU, a win against KSU (where KSU was fighting pretty hard despite the score), an 8 point loss to a 2-loss Clemson, and one good win against a 2-loss UNC. It’ll take multiple wins to move our ratings and predictions up, which makes sense because right now we’re trying to get bowl-eligible. The model is just now starting to figure out who played who—there’s not enough information this season to compare a Washington State against a Georgia Tech. 2-2 should have us in the middle of an unbiased but not strongly connected model, right? [/QUOTE]
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