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Predicting Future Success
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<blockquote data-quote="CEB" data-source="post: 855662" data-attributes="member: 4905"><p>I’m sure there is. How does Cincy shake out? Does it take into consideration the year of success vs the year the 4/5stars were recruited? Not a knock on you or the study (I haven’t seen it), but I suspect there’s a lot “noise” in the conclusions. </p><p>I for one believe the biggest reason the usual suspects remain the usual suspects is because of their ability to redshirt and develop 4/5 star guys. When these 4/5 star guys are major contributors in year 3,4 and 5 as opposed to year 1,2 and 3 the result is light years better. </p><p>Certainly recruiting Success matters. It’s a huge first step. Retaining and developing talent is what distinguishes the perennial playoff teams from everyone else.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CEB, post: 855662, member: 4905"] I’m sure there is. How does Cincy shake out? Does it take into consideration the year of success vs the year the 4/5stars were recruited? Not a knock on you or the study (I haven’t seen it), but I suspect there’s a lot “noise” in the conclusions. I for one believe the biggest reason the usual suspects remain the usual suspects is because of their ability to redshirt and develop 4/5 star guys. When these 4/5 star guys are major contributors in year 3,4 and 5 as opposed to year 1,2 and 3 the result is light years better. Certainly recruiting Success matters. It’s a huge first step. Retaining and developing talent is what distinguishes the perennial playoff teams from everyone else. [/QUOTE]
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