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Predicting Future Success
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<blockquote data-quote="roedeo" data-source="post: 855145" data-attributes="member: 2624"><p>Stars are an important leading indicator, but in the end some of the ranking scores are subjective. Several GT recruits have had their scores lowered after committing.</p><p></p><p>The first recent modifier was the ‘free’ year granted to SAs in 2020 due to the pandemic. Some players stayed instead of moving on. That prevented some of the younger players from getting game reps.</p><p></p><p>Now, with the floodgates open and hundreds of SAs rushing to change teams thru the transfer portal, teams with 3 or 4-year starters, with the same team, will become the exception and no longer the norm. This will likely become a major modifier for future team performance. ALOT of teams.</p><p></p><p>Add on top of this the coaching carousel we are witnessing, including changing OCs and DCs, thus the play calling changes.</p><p></p><p>So, as a former stock broker once said “past performance is no predictor of future success”</p><p></p><p>So for now, we are in a holding pattern, waiting for more pieces of the puzzle to be added. It’s a only partial view, like a mirror dimly lit. More to be revealed by next September.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="roedeo, post: 855145, member: 2624"] Stars are an important leading indicator, but in the end some of the ranking scores are subjective. Several GT recruits have had their scores lowered after committing. The first recent modifier was the ‘free’ year granted to SAs in 2020 due to the pandemic. Some players stayed instead of moving on. That prevented some of the younger players from getting game reps. Now, with the floodgates open and hundreds of SAs rushing to change teams thru the transfer portal, teams with 3 or 4-year starters, with the same team, will become the exception and no longer the norm. This will likely become a major modifier for future team performance. ALOT of teams. Add on top of this the coaching carousel we are witnessing, including changing OCs and DCs, thus the play calling changes. So, as a former stock broker once said “past performance is no predictor of future success” So for now, we are in a holding pattern, waiting for more pieces of the puzzle to be added. It’s a only partial view, like a mirror dimly lit. More to be revealed by next September. [/QUOTE]
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