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On the OL, What is More Important....
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<blockquote data-quote="Boomergump" data-source="post: 46981" data-attributes="member: 639"><p>I am a huge stat guy. I love em, but the eyeball test is also important. However, everybody's eyeballs are not the same. Even professional guys who rely on their eyeballs are right some of the time and wrong some of the time. When in doubt, go with the guy who is right most of the time. Over time, interested on-lookers will figure out who has the discerning eye. Eventually, those who trust eyeball test people do using the stat of how right they tend to be, whether formally calculated or roughly estimated through observation.</p><p></p><p>If you are looking into the future, eyeball test is absolutely critical and stats are only marginally applicable in terms of trend analysis. If you are looking into the past, then finding objective measures to support eyeball type conclusions should be easily done. Why wouldn't you?</p><p></p><p>I don't subscribe fully to the argument that you can make stats say anything you want. While there is a certain amount of "spin" that is possible, intelligent people can judge the validity of a stat pretty easily. Inevitably, people who say they abhor stats will use them their arguments. I see that all the time. Usually, the biggest difference is what stat they choose to use.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Boomergump, post: 46981, member: 639"] I am a huge stat guy. I love em, but the eyeball test is also important. However, everybody's eyeballs are not the same. Even professional guys who rely on their eyeballs are right some of the time and wrong some of the time. When in doubt, go with the guy who is right most of the time. Over time, interested on-lookers will figure out who has the discerning eye. Eventually, those who trust eyeball test people do using the stat of how right they tend to be, whether formally calculated or roughly estimated through observation. If you are looking into the future, eyeball test is absolutely critical and stats are only marginally applicable in terms of trend analysis. If you are looking into the past, then finding objective measures to support eyeball type conclusions should be easily done. Why wouldn't you? I don't subscribe fully to the argument that you can make stats say anything you want. While there is a certain amount of "spin" that is possible, intelligent people can judge the validity of a stat pretty easily. Inevitably, people who say they abhor stats will use them their arguments. I see that all the time. Usually, the biggest difference is what stat they choose to use. [/QUOTE]
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On the OL, What is More Important....
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