It would be a huge letdown to lose at home to UVA. They are not a good team at all. In fact they are the worse team in the ACC imo.
It's also vital to win that game as 4 of the last 5 are on the road
Getting to 6 wins basically requires beating UVA as the schedule started really difficult and ends really difficult (finishing at UNC, who looks like could be one of the main teams battling for the Coastal title, and UGA - an all but guaranteed loss).
I don't really like our chances against FSU on the road either.
On the other hand the 2 VA teams and Miami do not look good at all. Those are your 3 most likely wins left on the schedule.
(as a matter of fact in the rankings I keep, which is points based, those are the bottom 3 teams in the ACC)
Our D is playing really well the last 2 games.
The offense has been inconsistent at best. Duke is one of the worst defensive teams we will play this year and we still only got to 20 pts in regulation. Our inability to score in the red zone is going to cost us a game at some point.
Moving Stewart to kick FG's has been a boon, and arguably the biggest reason we are 2-0 the last 2 games. 6 FG in 2 games. That is the difference between 2-0 and 0-2. The defensive performance is the second biggest reason. Punting is still a huge issue. No blocked punts but the 4 punts Duke returned went for 19, 18, 81 and 40. That is atrocious.
We are relying almost exclusively on Sims on offense right now. He was responsible for 322 out of 412 yards of offense. Even with 412 yds of offense GT was only 5-15 on third downs.