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Discussion in 'Georgia Tech Baseball' started by FredJacket, Mar 7, 2019.

  1. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    The Jackets really have their work cut out for them this weekend. Opening ACC play on road (not good in 2018) against a very talented Miami team. Miami is 10-2; and unlike Ga Tech, Miami has won ALL the games they were suppose to win. Only 2 losses were at Florida where they (Miami) won 1 of 3 games.

    Our road ACC series are: Miami, Louisville, BC, VT, Duke (in that order). By seasons end, it is possible this weekend will be against the best team on that list. Louisville's record looks much like Ga Tech's right now.

    Here are some key teams stats with D1 rank in parenthesis (we need to play our best baseball to beat Miami):

    Batting Avg:
    Miami - .329 (8)*
    GT - .264 (128)

    Miami - 8.5 (16)
    GT - 5.8 (124)

    Miami - 139 (16)*
    GT - 120 (47)

    Miami - 28 (17)*
    GT - 17 (135)

    HR per game:
    Miami - 1.42 (7)
    GT - 1.08 (34)

    Miami - .426 (13)
    GT - .365 (136)

    Miami - 2.72 (25)
    GT - 3.20 (53)

    BBs per 9IP:
    GT - 2.60 (10)*
    Miami - 3.14 (35)

    GT - 3.86 (8)
    Miami - 3.22 (26)

    Miami - 1.19 (38)
    GT - 1.20 (41)

    Flg %:
    GT - .972 (93)
    Miami - .961 (186)

    *Best in ACC
    source: http://web1.ncaa.org/stats/StatsSrv/ranksummary
    EDIT: Apologies for the link... no matter where I copy link, it creates path to same spot (not the spot I want it to be). You'll have to drill down to see numbers.
    Last edited: Mar 7, 2019
    CuseJacket and tkh74 like this.
  2. bensaysitathome

    bensaysitathome Ramblin' Wreck

    Miami's offense is good. Our's might be as good (or at least close), but the numbers took a hit from a tough weekend against UCLA.

    Let's see if we got the road monkey off our backs.
    tkh74, THWG, bwelbo and 1 other person like this.
  3. bwelbo

    bwelbo Helluva Engineer

    Well big fat surprise, it feels like a 1-2 outcome would be acceptable, and a 2-1 outcome would be head-over-heels fantastic.

    This is also one of those times that statistics early in the season can lead you astray.
    Rutgers (3 of Miami's 9 wins) is 2-7. They barely beat Chicago State and Butler
    UBMC (3 of Miami's 9 wins) is 2-4. They beat UNC Asheville twice.

    In fact, none of Miami's wins came against teams with a winning record...except for 1 win against Florida. I'd say on paper Miami looks like the significantly superior team, but I see no reason we can't win at least 1 game down there. If we can win 2, we might be onto something this year.
    GTNavyNuke, tkh74, THWG and 1 other person like this.
  4. senoiajacket

    senoiajacket Helluva Engineer

    As much as we lament our fielding (well, actually only at one position I guess), we are significantly better than Miami at this point. Also less walks. Walks and errors lose games.
    GTNavyNuke and THWG like this.
  5. gt13

    gt13 Helluva Engineer

    The way we've been pitching lately, I hope we can neutralize Miami's apparent edge on offense over us. Our bats have been trending upward in the past ~7 games too. Need to win at least 1 this weekend.
    Female Jacket and FredJacket like this.
  6. Female Jacket

    Female Jacket Jolly Good Fellow

    I believe our biggest problem is relievers and closers .
    Say for instance, Zay starts and goes 5 flawless innings, then our bullpen must keep up his good work, but of course not everyone can be Zay.
    So then a hit happens, a run happens, still all okay unless our batters aren't doing their job then it's not okay.
    My point, is bullpen depth. We haven't seen it in action against ACC hitters yet, so Miami will be the litmus test.
    Also why not try for two games instead of 3 in a series. For instance, you pitch Zay and Hurter one day then the next day is CT and Amos, then the last day of the series draw sticks to see who pitches whilst saving Bartnicki and Roedig for midweek starts.
    SecretAgentBuzz likes this.
  7. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    If you look at our 4 losses.... the problem has been scoring runs in EVERY one. Here are run totals in 4 losses: 1, 2, 0, 1

    2 of our wins are in extra innings in relatively low scoring games against 2 pretty good teams (WVU, UCLA). That is an indication of pitching depth. Not saying our bullpen is lights out; but it is far deeper than it has ever been. The weekend rotation of Curry, CT, Hurter seems like a no brainer to me. Gives team the best chance to win each game... that's all you can do.
    THWG likes this.
  8. Female Jacket

    Female Jacket Jolly Good Fellow

    Miami is the ACC test we need. I'm just strategizing, thinking it's best to put all your eggs in one basket because 'Cause two out of three ain't bad'...lala
    FredJacket likes this.
  9. THWG

    THWG Helluva Engineer

    Also, one of Roedig or Willingham will be moving to the pen since I don't believe we have anymore weeks with 2 midweek games. That right there provides a lot more depth and stability. Right now, there are 3 tiers in the pen. Tier 1 is Hughes, English, Gibson, Roedig/Willingham, and Bartnicki (I know he struggled, but it's clear Hall is going to use him a lot). Tier 2 is Shirah, Chapman, Mannelly, Brace, and Carpenter. Tier 3 is everyone else with maybe Lee and Winborne having potential to get innings. These guys have performed well this year and like @FredJacket said, the depth is so much better.
    Female Jacket and FredJacket like this.
  10. Female Jacket

    Female Jacket Jolly Good Fellow

    Mannelly is out with a "forearm" strain, lets hope that is all it is... for the rest of the bullpen, let's see who got on the plane to Miami. I'm rooting for GT, and I believe they can and will have a decent season.
    SecretAgentBuzz, GTNavyNuke and THWG like this.
  11. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    Stinger90 likes this.
  12. GTNavyNuke

    GTNavyNuke Helluva Engineer Featured Member

    I expect us to win one game and hope we win two. Three wins will make me irrationally exuberant and think we can host. Zero will make me think we don't go to the NCAAs again and I'll suffer PTSD from the last few years play.

    @bwelbo is right. Miami hasn't been tested that much. While they are 10-2 their SOS is 117th while ours is 78th. Miami lost their two games to #6 (10-5) Florida while the good team we played was UCLA to whom we also lost 2. Miami has been consistent enough to win ALL other 9 games. We haven't. That's why Miami has a better early season RPI of 30 and ours is at 78. http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2019/rpi-live

    Batting and relieving consistency will probably cost us a game. As will being on the road where most teams are at a distinct disadvantage and we were awful last year. Till we do better on the road, I see no reason to expect a change.
    SecretAgentBuzz, tkh74 and Stinger90 like this.
  13. GTech63

    GTech63 Helluva Engineer

    What time is first pitch today??
  14. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    7:30 in the PM
  15. Gtbowhunter90

    Gtbowhunter90 Helluva Engineer Contributing Writer

    3-0 GT top 3
    gt13 likes this.
  16. gt13

    gt13 Helluva Engineer

    Xza looking sharp through 2.

    English just deposited one over the left center wall. Jackets up 3-0 with 1 out in T3
  17. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    Chat seems to be up & operating
  18. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    Through 7. These 2 teams are tied & making an equal number of imperfect plays. Same story. Different day. Win is there for taking. Loss is lurking in the night ready to strike this old man who seriously wonders why he cares this much.
    GTNavyNuke likes this.
  19. The Doddfather

    The Doddfather Helluva Engineer

    Great job by the Miami catcher in that inning. Multiple balls in the dirt chested up. Blown opportunity again. Cmon guys. Let’s hold em and scratch one across.
    FredJacket likes this.
  20. FredJacket

    FredJacket Helluva Engineer

    S.L.I.D.E. ... Hall... just slide.

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