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The Swarm Lounge
General Investing and Economics Discussion - No Politics
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<blockquote data-quote="RonJohn" data-source="post: 810499" data-attributes="member: 2426"><p>I am not sure I trust the current numbers as true indicators of the inflation trend. Used car pricing makes up 1/3 of that increase. In a lot of instances, new cars are pretty much unavailable. People are currently paying more than new car MSRP for used cars. That is ridiculous and isn't sustainable. I am sure the car dealers will try to keep the prices high after new cars are readily available again, but when one dealer starts selling cars more cheaply to get more business, all of them will follow. A year from now, that portion of the inflation numbers will probably be negative. Housing is a portion of the inflation numbers. Construction materials are now deflating. I don't know that housing prices will deflate, but I can see them being stagnant for several years.</p><p></p><p>The bigger issues with inflation, in my opinion, are wage increases and printed money. Those will cause real inflation, but I don't know that we are actually seeing the effects of those things strongly yet.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RonJohn, post: 810499, member: 2426"] I am not sure I trust the current numbers as true indicators of the inflation trend. Used car pricing makes up 1/3 of that increase. In a lot of instances, new cars are pretty much unavailable. People are currently paying more than new car MSRP for used cars. That is ridiculous and isn't sustainable. I am sure the car dealers will try to keep the prices high after new cars are readily available again, but when one dealer starts selling cars more cheaply to get more business, all of them will follow. A year from now, that portion of the inflation numbers will probably be negative. Housing is a portion of the inflation numbers. Construction materials are now deflating. I don't know that housing prices will deflate, but I can see them being stagnant for several years. The bigger issues with inflation, in my opinion, are wage increases and printed money. Those will cause real inflation, but I don't know that we are actually seeing the effects of those things strongly yet. [/QUOTE]
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