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The Swarm Lounge
General Investing and Economics Discussion - No Politics
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<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 2897" data-source="post: 427838"><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/06/david-stockman-predicts-50-percent-stock-market-plunge.html" target="_blank">https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/06/david-stockman-predicts-50-percent-stock-market-plunge.html</a></p><p></p><p>You can also find people who say the stock market can go up another 50 percent. My point is, if losing a large percentage of your money would keep you up at night, then that chunk of money shouldn't be in the stock market. The market could keep going up for years, but it is a point of fact that valuations are at highs for being at the tail end of the longest business cycle in our recorded history. I agree with brave above you shouldn't try to time the market, but at the same time if there is money you might need in the next 5 years my personal recommendation is to not have that in the stock market. For example, I have 2 kids that will be starting college in 2 years and in 6 years. I now have 80% of our 529 college savings account in essentially a money market fund making 1%. I'm likely to need $100,000+ over the next 5 years so it would really hurt if I lost a lot of that money. Long term, the stock market may go down, but it will go back up...but you don't want to be forced to sell at a low because you need the money. That's when you want money available to buy.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 2897, post: 427838"] [URL]https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/06/david-stockman-predicts-50-percent-stock-market-plunge.html[/URL] You can also find people who say the stock market can go up another 50 percent. My point is, if losing a large percentage of your money would keep you up at night, then that chunk of money shouldn't be in the stock market. The market could keep going up for years, but it is a point of fact that valuations are at highs for being at the tail end of the longest business cycle in our recorded history. I agree with brave above you shouldn't try to time the market, but at the same time if there is money you might need in the next 5 years my personal recommendation is to not have that in the stock market. For example, I have 2 kids that will be starting college in 2 years and in 6 years. I now have 80% of our 529 college savings account in essentially a money market fund making 1%. I'm likely to need $100,000+ over the next 5 years so it would really hurt if I lost a lot of that money. Long term, the stock market may go down, but it will go back up...but you don't want to be forced to sell at a low because you need the money. That's when you want money available to buy. [/QUOTE]
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