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Game 5 Clemson Predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="ibeattetris" data-source="post: 753296" data-attributes="member: 1175"><p>Well, I wrote a really rudimentary expected pointed calculator that is certainly garbage, it has Clemson beating us 40-17.</p><p></p><p>I based this on a combination of points per drive, points per play, and team epa. I want to remove add some more things that aren't points related as I feel like points per drive are more descriptive as opposed to prescriptive (i.e. points per play is great at explaining why a team is great, but is not necessarily the best predictor of future scoring, but I could be wrong about that too <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite1" alt=":)" title="Smile :)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":)" /> ), but this was all I was able to get tonight. If anyone is interested in the actual data I can share that as well..</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ibeattetris, post: 753296, member: 1175"] Well, I wrote a really rudimentary expected pointed calculator that is certainly garbage, it has Clemson beating us 40-17. I based this on a combination of points per drive, points per play, and team epa. I want to remove add some more things that aren't points related as I feel like points per drive are more descriptive as opposed to prescriptive (i.e. points per play is great at explaining why a team is great, but is not necessarily the best predictor of future scoring, but I could be wrong about that too :) ), but this was all I was able to get tonight. If anyone is interested in the actual data I can share that as well.. [/QUOTE]
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