Techster
Helluva Engineer
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O'Leary was the DC for our national championship team and had pretty highly ranked defenses the entire time under Ross. That's not quite the same situation.
You're right. It won't be the same situation. If Key does win 6+ games, he will have proven he can win with players the previous coach couldn't win with, with a staff not completely his, and under extenuating circumstances. He would also have won as many games in less tries than O'Leary did (O'Leary won 6 games in his first 14 games). Being a DC on a staff that won the natty doesn't mean anything. Many DCs and OCs from national champions have failed at HC. The only thing that gives O'Leary the advantage is hindsight. If Key does manage to win 6+ games this year, we won't need hindsight.
If you don't think that deserves a shot at a full season to see what he can do, than we've lost the plot. As others have said, you don't give him a fully guaranteed contract, or a contract with a small structured buyout, and give Key a shot he earned.
As I said previously, if he doesn't win six or more games, this is probably moot anyhow.