It's ultimately going to take enough 4 or 5 star busts to temper the insanity / hysteria gripping the nil phenomenon.
I don’t think that will ever happen, look how many busts there are in the NFL draft and yet they keep throwing millions at them every year
I agree with this. Moreover, we are looking at NIL like a guaranteed Pro Contract. I would be willing to bet the language in these contracts are heavily geared towards the booster. If things don’t work out with the 5 star athlete the freshman year, that money will get moved to an incoming 5 star athlete the next year.If NIL were simply legitimate companies looking to take a flyer on getting a potential up and comer to sign a deal before he explodes into the spotlight, then yes, a few busts would probably serve to limit the profligate spending we see heading our way.
That's not the future of NIL though. Texas A&M is showing what is truly to come. Big money boosters set up shell companies with a primary mission of funneling money to high value recruits via NIL agreements. If a company's primary focus is to pay recruits, then a few busts aren't going to really matter. You can't win if you are afraid to lose. I don't see anything other than outside regulation by either the government or a coalition of conferences stemming this tide...
A 32 team super league seems like it would make sense, but I don't think it will ever happen. The only schools powerful enough to make this kind of seizmic change are the alabamas, Texas, OSU, etc and they are content with the current setup. The schools that would be pushing this are the ones who can't (or don't want to) compete financially. And the reality is the schools that can't compete financially don't move the needle in the college football world.Did not read all of this, but I think the NIL combined with portal creates the following at some point:
32 Team "super league" at the top, with the remaining 100 schools left to have their own championship playoff or whatever. I would assume there still can be crossover games for sure, but only those who sign up to compete at a high level of NIL would be considered for the 32 team league.
I don't want this, but I think it is the only outcome where the rest of the teams have a legitimate chance at a natty, albeit a lesser league natty. The best HS players are going to go where the NIL $$ are, and the players that develop into top talent in the lower league will mostly head for the NIL deals with those same teams via portal.
I think we have to go all out. I think this situation absolutely requires a really futile and stupid gesture be done on somebody’s part.An insurection by the balance of the +100 FBS college football programs vs. the SEC is warranted, but will require mindful, effective conference coordination but will most likely be too little to late...it is a crossroad...
I estimate that the average coach goes 6 and 6 in 12 games and thus goes to a bowl. But now that our coach has all his top recruits and transfers, I forecast 8-4 next year.Where do you get we are overpaying coaches? Our head coach is about average and the coordinators are below average. Obviously the Group of 5 pays far less but they have significantly less revenue (yes even compared to GT) to pay coaches. Yes you can absolutely question if the results have provided us a payback. But if you want to hire talented head coaches and coordinators, we are not overpaying.
Sounds like winning football can actually improve the quality of a school's student body!The most interesting demographic for AL since Saban has arrived is where its student body comes from.
The year before Saban took over the student body was almost 80% from the state of AL. Today, the student body is only 42% from the state of AL and 58% from outside the state.
This was a concerted effort by the University. They would go into schools up here in the Midwest and offer these kids In-State tuition to go to Alabama. That's a huge savings over what the in-state schools up here cost. It's almost as much to go to UIUC in-state as it is Tech out-of-state.
It's not that lack of football success at GT hurts enrollment or applications, but moreso that success in football wouldn't harm in any way whatsoever it's academic standing and reputation. Football may help at Bama/Auburn/UGA with enrollment from out of state. Less serious students on a relative basis may be attracted to such, while more serious students, not so much.What Bama has done is at a minimum offer any reasonably strong student in-state tuition, plus often additional scholarships.
I mean students from probably anywhere, but definitely from the Atlanta area (I know this first hand from my kids’ friends). It’s a reasonable alternative to uga level students who want to go somewhere else.
GT is no where near that desperate for good students. Any of you with kids applying to GT these days knows this. A friend of one of my kids made 800 on his math SAT and was rejected by GT. GT applications are highly self selective - not everyone wants to go to a math intensive school. In spite of that, the last acceptance rate I saw was 18%. The GT admissions profile is closer to Duke than Bama. If football and academics correlated, applications to schools like GT and Duke would be dropping rather than going up.
However, GT is among a fairly small group of nerd schools endeavoring to compete in the world of semi pro college football and I agree it’s important for student life. Not important enough to convince top students to turn down schools like GT to go to Tuscaloosa. I’m watching my kids and their friends, big sports fans, picking top schools with crap football.
Army/Navy e.g.It's not that lack of football success at GT hurts enrollment or applications, but moreso that success in football wouldn't harm in any way whatsoever it's academic standing and reputation. Football may help at Bama/Auburn/UGA with enrollment from out of state. Less serious students on a relative basis may be attracted to such, while more serious students, not so much.