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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 81464" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>When / if the Atomic site comes back up, you could calculate the probabilities. I did that last year for the ACC CG ......... but only once we got close.</p><p></p><p>But assuming a 50% chance to win every game, we have a .4% chance to win every game and a .4% chance to lose every game (.5^8). </p><p></p><p>So to not make a bowl, we'd have to lose every game (.4%) or win just one (3.2%) which is a 3.6% likelihood. </p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: 9px">Since I assumed the odds of every game at 50% (I am lazy), the odds of winning one particular game and losing all the others is .4% too. 3.6=8*.4% + .4%.</span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 81464, member: 322"] When / if the Atomic site comes back up, you could calculate the probabilities. I did that last year for the ACC CG ......... but only once we got close. But assuming a 50% chance to win every game, we have a .4% chance to win every game and a .4% chance to lose every game (.5^8). So to not make a bowl, we'd have to lose every game (.4%) or win just one (3.2%) which is a 3.6% likelihood. [SIZE=1]Since I assumed the odds of every game at 50% (I am lazy), the odds of winning one particular game and losing all the others is .4% too. 3.6=8*.4% + .4%.[/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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