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<blockquote data-quote="gtrower" data-source="post: 52825" data-attributes="member: 375"><p>Finishing worse than 4-4 would be a travesty with this conference schedule. Likelihood of wins IMHO:</p><p> </p><p>Clemson...35% Clemson lost a lot on offense, but they have ripped our defense apart the last few years.</p><p>Miami......40% We've had our chances to take them down. We were in great position each of the last 2 years.</p><p>@VT........40% Same thing, just haven't been getting over the hump. Plus Thomas's first real road test of his career.</p><p>@UNC.....50% They are improving, but their defense hasn't shown anything to suggest they can stop CPJ since '08. On the road drops it from 60%.</p><p>@Pitt.......60% I wasn't impressed with them last year and the only reason it was close was because of their DT that left for the NFL.</p><p>@NCSU...65% They don't look to be putting up much of a fight this year.</p><p>Duke........75% They simply won't stop us after losing the backbone of their defense (which couldn't stop us anyway). They better hope to put up 40+ to win.</p><p>UVA.........80% Bad team in Atlanta for homecoming.</p><p> </p><p>That put us in the neighborhood of 4.5 expected wins. I would guess that we win one of Clemson/Miami. Split the road games. And beat Duke/UVA to finish 5-3. Good old 5-3 which I believe CPJ has finished 4 out of the 6 years (with a 6-2 and 4-4 mixed in, but I could be wrong on that). Couple that with an unfortunately likely 3-1 OOC record for an 8-4 overall and headed to another boring bowl game. But good enough to keep CPJ for another year headed into a make-or-break season in 2015 with an absolutely brutal schedule including FSU, @ND, UGA, @Clemson, @Miami, VT, and the usual ACC suspects along with Tulane and hopefully a 2nd cupcake. If we aren't careful and/or Thomas doesn't work out at QB, that could be the end of our bowl streak.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="gtrower, post: 52825, member: 375"] Finishing worse than 4-4 would be a travesty with this conference schedule. Likelihood of wins IMHO: Clemson...35% Clemson lost a lot on offense, but they have ripped our defense apart the last few years. Miami......40% We've had our chances to take them down. We were in great position each of the last 2 years. @VT........40% Same thing, just haven't been getting over the hump. Plus Thomas's first real road test of his career. @UNC.....50% They are improving, but their defense hasn't shown anything to suggest they can stop CPJ since '08. On the road drops it from 60%. @Pitt.......60% I wasn't impressed with them last year and the only reason it was close was because of their DT that left for the NFL. @NCSU...65% They don't look to be putting up much of a fight this year. Duke........75% They simply won't stop us after losing the backbone of their defense (which couldn't stop us anyway). They better hope to put up 40+ to win. UVA.........80% Bad team in Atlanta for homecoming. That put us in the neighborhood of 4.5 expected wins. I would guess that we win one of Clemson/Miami. Split the road games. And beat Duke/UVA to finish 5-3. Good old 5-3 which I believe CPJ has finished 4 out of the 6 years (with a 6-2 and 4-4 mixed in, but I could be wrong on that). Couple that with an unfortunately likely 3-1 OOC record for an 8-4 overall and headed to another boring bowl game. But good enough to keep CPJ for another year headed into a make-or-break season in 2015 with an absolutely brutal schedule including FSU, @ND, UGA, @Clemson, @Miami, VT, and the usual ACC suspects along with Tulane and hopefully a 2nd cupcake. If we aren't careful and/or Thomas doesn't work out at QB, that could be the end of our bowl streak. [/QUOTE]
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