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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 913128" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>I agree with Oriental, the number of teams who are still really alive to get bids is quite small.</p><p></p><p>If TCU loses at some point then I think there is a real potential it could be UGA, TN, OSU, MI.</p><p>If UGA goes into the SEC CG undefeated they will get a bid no matter what happens in that game. Now if they were to be upset by either KY or GT then I think they likely would have to win the SEC Championship game to get in.</p><p></p><p>TN is the highest ranked 1 loss team. If they win their last 2 against SC and Vandy their odds at getting in are probably better than 50%. It would come down to what happens with TCU and in the OSU-MI game. TCU will fall behind a 1 loss SEC or B10 team so they only get in if they stay undefeated.</p><p>How close the OSU-MI game ends up being is important. If it is a close well played game then the loser could potential be ranked ahead of TN. As long as it is not a blowout both MI and OSU will remain in serious conversation.</p><p></p><p>USC also has 1 loss and has a shot, but they have to win out at this point. </p><p></p><p>At this point the teams that have a legit shot still are</p><p>UGA (10-0)</p><p>OSU (10-0)</p><p>MI (10-0)</p><p>TCU (10-0)</p><p>TN (9-1)</p><p>USC (9-1)</p><p>LSU (8-2, the only 2 loss team with a chance. Have to win out, beat UGA in the SEC CG and need a few others to lose).</p><p></p><p>The top 3 can potentially take a loss and still have a good shot at getting in. The next 4 would all but be eliminated with a loss.</p><p></p><p>I don't think anyone else has a legit shot at this point. OR and UCLA both were eliminated yesterday.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 913128, member: 1776"] I agree with Oriental, the number of teams who are still really alive to get bids is quite small. If TCU loses at some point then I think there is a real potential it could be UGA, TN, OSU, MI. If UGA goes into the SEC CG undefeated they will get a bid no matter what happens in that game. Now if they were to be upset by either KY or GT then I think they likely would have to win the SEC Championship game to get in. TN is the highest ranked 1 loss team. If they win their last 2 against SC and Vandy their odds at getting in are probably better than 50%. It would come down to what happens with TCU and in the OSU-MI game. TCU will fall behind a 1 loss SEC or B10 team so they only get in if they stay undefeated. How close the OSU-MI game ends up being is important. If it is a close well played game then the loser could potential be ranked ahead of TN. As long as it is not a blowout both MI and OSU will remain in serious conversation. USC also has 1 loss and has a shot, but they have to win out at this point. At this point the teams that have a legit shot still are UGA (10-0) OSU (10-0) MI (10-0) TCU (10-0) TN (9-1) USC (9-1) LSU (8-2, the only 2 loss team with a chance. Have to win out, beat UGA in the SEC CG and need a few others to lose). The top 3 can potentially take a loss and still have a good shot at getting in. The next 4 would all but be eliminated with a loss. I don't think anyone else has a legit shot at this point. OR and UCLA both were eliminated yesterday. [/QUOTE]
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