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70 Years of GT Football – Odds of Getting a Better Coach Than CPJ
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 48401" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>The comparison is the probability of a given team beating the average team on a neutral field. It compares how teams stacked up against others in their day.</p><p></p><p>The assumption going across the decades is that a coach in one time period would be able to take the athletes, institutional advantages / disadvantages and rules of another time and adapt to have the same relative performance. I'm not comparing the relative merits of different times but the relative performance of programs against their peers.</p><p></p><p>Bud Carson may have been a good coach, but on average his teams finished 48th. So on average there were 47 coaches / programs better than him in his day. So I'd rather have CPJ who has finished 43rd so far. (I hope we do a lot better and CPJ's average performance goes up.)</p><p></p><p>I agree that players in the 50's were much smaller, slower and weaker than players today. An average team today would have little difficulty easily defeating a 50's championship team. Just like an average Formula 1 race car today would have no problem beating a 50's Formula 1 race car. So you can't compare this year's team on an absolute basis to the 50's team. But you can compare how they stacked up against their competition under similar conditions.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 48401, member: 322"] The comparison is the probability of a given team beating the average team on a neutral field. It compares how teams stacked up against others in their day. The assumption going across the decades is that a coach in one time period would be able to take the athletes, institutional advantages / disadvantages and rules of another time and adapt to have the same relative performance. I'm not comparing the relative merits of different times but the relative performance of programs against their peers. Bud Carson may have been a good coach, but on average his teams finished 48th. So on average there were 47 coaches / programs better than him in his day. So I'd rather have CPJ who has finished 43rd so far. (I hope we do a lot better and CPJ's average performance goes up.) I agree that players in the 50's were much smaller, slower and weaker than players today. An average team today would have little difficulty easily defeating a 50's championship team. Just like an average Formula 1 race car today would have no problem beating a 50's Formula 1 race car. So you can't compare this year's team on an absolute basis to the 50's team. But you can compare how they stacked up against their competition under similar conditions. [/QUOTE]
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70 Years of GT Football – Odds of Getting a Better Coach Than CPJ
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