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  1. Economic Fallout Thread

    I think they are less concerned about what might happen from a lockdown then what will happen if we don't do it now. I'm glad the businesses in your area are doing ok, but the country as a whole is in a deep recession and until we beat the disease down it will continue to be. I think the...
  2. Economic Fallout Thread

    Btw, here's the paper in a new, improved version: https://irle.berkeley.edu/files/2020/07/Unemployment-Effects-of-Stay-at-Home-Orders.pdf And, since the authors are economists, of course, that means it has become more opaque and harder to read. Still, the points I made before hold. They...
  3. Economic Fallout Thread

    Here's an op-ed that I think has the situation correct: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/07/opinion/coronavirus-lockdown-unemployment-death.htmlect: This would be hard medicine to swallow and I doubt that the administration or many of the states would go along. Problem = Osterholm and Kashkari...
  4. Economic Fallout Thread

    • Go back and look carefully at the graphs. Read the referred pages too; they describe the data collection procedures. I'll look again myself and see if I can see where we got off track. • I can't help but feel that you have a virtually flypaper thick skin. You take offense at the most innocent...
  5. Economic Fallout Thread

    You are - shall we say? - misremembering. In fact, the paper made it crystal clear that they were using local SIP orders iand "recommendations" instead of statewide official ones. And I pointed that out to you, with reference pages in the paper at the time. That you neglected to go back and take...
  6. Economic Fallout Thread

    Yes, though the uptick in permanent job losses make your rosy scenario less likely. It really is this simple: we won't get back to normal business conditions until the 1/3rd of the population over 60 years of age decides that it is safe to use "hospitality and leisure" industry again. That means...
  7. Economic Fallout Thread

    Speaking of the most recent part of the Long Depression, see Minzie Chin: http://econbrowser.com/archives/2020/08/the-gdp-collapse-it-is-what-it-is You've heard the numbers, now look at the graphs. What's most illuminating here is that many of the graphs (the right ones; Chin is a pro) use...
  8. Devin Cochran choosing to not enroll

    I'm sorry for all the loses you have suffered. I hope those who survived can recover, but I fear for the long term consequences of this disease. This thing is very bad indeed. We still haven't gotten to the place where we can admit that. This continues to bewilder me.
  9. Updated Roster

    I did too, but that may have been because our opponents weren't as stout. I think the big thing now is to find 7 OLs who can play and have them avoid injury long enough to learn to play as a unit. I'm an old (very) OL myself and I can testify to the vastly increased efficiency of blocking when...
  10. Updated Roster

    Did you watch how he did it? By bridging. If he had done that with his rear on the bench I'd be more impressed. Maybe he can by now. Presently, Mason is easily our strongest runner. Griffin needs a hole; if he gets one, he can turn on the jets and make it work. If he doesn't he didn't show much...
  11. Updated Roster

    My main takeaways from the new roster are: • I like it that the guys who didn't need to gain weight - especially Mason and most of the RBs - didn't. I'm not too thrilled with Griffin going up to 218; his main talent is his speed. But you never know. • I'm not so thrilled with so many players...
  12. Team is getting SWOLE

    I thought last year that losing Camp so early made a huge difference in our passing game. All of a sudden, we lost the guy who could muscle his way to a 10 yard reception against most DBs. The guys who replaced him did ok, but they were not Camp. Further, losing him meant that there wasn't a WR...
  13. James Graham??

    I don't think we need to worry about James. But … I'm not sure he'll get to show us why.
  14. Coronavirus Thread

    Now, there's an idea! Find a way for us and I'll be right behind you.
  15. Coronavirus Thread

    Ah, just when you thought things couldn't get worse, the Germans intervene. See: http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2020/07/no-comment-necessary.html And goto the link. Short study: the study found substantial cardiac damage in 78% of all patients who had the disease and recovered...
  16. Economic Fallout Thread

    Did you even deign to read the thread and click though to the links? Apparently not, since your second sentence "… that high unemployment compensation decreases willingness to work" is addressed fairly early on and there isn't any evidence of it. Also, this "… the connection between unemployment...
  17. Economic Fallout Thread

    Well … my post and Tedeshi's tweets were about the general unemployment situation, not just the hospitality industry. I didn't address the figures you quoted because they were irrelevant to the thread I reported. Quoting them again doesn't refute the data in the thread I linked. But I'm not...
  18. Economic Fallout Thread

    Yes, and they also use general indicators of phenomena whereas reports heard from others are anecdotes. There is such a thing as "ground truth" based on individual impressions and that shouldn't be ignored. Oth, when everyone you talk to is already convinced that high unemployment benefits are...
  19. Economic Fallout Thread

    I keep hearing things about how keeping the extended unemployment payments at present levels would, in some magic fashion, depress employment or returning to work. So much for that: And click through to the links. Most of this is Fed/BLS/Census data, though some is from the banks. Short...
  20. Question about this season and the ACC

    And now the NFL has cancelled the preseason. I won't post a link; all of you saw the story. We'll see, but I doubt the season will continue if it starts. I have no problem with that. There's nothing wrong with facing reality, even for football fans. True, it is a tad bit harder for us …
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