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Woo boy, that is quite a move from the opener...I'm wondering if there is significant Wake injury news that is not public yet?

Yeah, it definitely wasn't looking good until late in the 3rd, but remember there were a few drives on both sides in the 1H that should have resulted in points. Trust the process, not the results! And I had a bit of GT +20.5 as well, so I feel your pain.

I honestly don't know how to answer this. In general, pace + offensive efficiency is highly correlated with successful teams. We are dead last in P5 allowing 7.42 yds per play, so I think we are an outlier here.

Line has already been bet down to Wake -6.5, which is significant when you move past the key number of 7. Just like last week, I think the play here is over 60.5. We are now 8th in pace in the nation with 81 plays per game. And most importantly, our D is atrocious. I don't think the market has...

Wake opens at Circa -8 with a total of 60.5. Looks about right, GT should see a significant downgrade after the Ole Miss game. I know King and the Offense looked ok, but everything else about that game was bad.

NFL and College Teams pay for PFF's data, so that should say something about their reputation.

Yeah I would be surprised if that was more than SYR -6. The rankings seem to be pretty impressed with their 65-0 win vs Colgate in wk 1.

Wake surprised me too. Their SP+ improved from 6.8 to 9.4 after week 1, the rankings must have liked the box score vs. Elon. We'll get a better read on them after they play Vandy, but I still think Wake will be favored by 6+ vs. GT. PFF pushed out their power rankings today, and they make Wake...

SP+ was updated today. As expected, GT improved- from -5.4 to -4.6 23.7 (75) for Offense, 28.2 (79) Defense, and -.1 (115) for Special Teams You can then project out Regular Season Win totals by taking the difference in opponents SP+ ratings and factoring in Home Field Advantage to get a...

Another PFF snip for y'all, this one regarding Rushing by Direction. I wish I could break this out to view by Quarter, but I don't think that's possible. At any rate, I was surprised to see that we had our best success running up the middle- LG, Middle Left, Middle Right, and RG. All over 5 YPA...

I snipped the PFF Off & Def grades for you guys. My thoughts in no particular order: This will be an unpopular opinion, but Haynes King is the same player as Jeff Sims (well, maybe not with the whole quitting thing, but I digress). Immensely physically talented. Turnover prone. Seems to take...

I’ll post updated win projections based on SP+ every Tuesday or Wednesday. I think we’ll improve to 4.5- I expect our power rating to improve more than the .14 probability that SP+ gave for the LOU game. Also, granted it was posted at halftime, but Bill Connelly tweeted that he may have...

The intent of the rule change is to reduce the number of plays per game which reduces the players exposure to potential injuries. The long term vision is to increase the number of games the teams play, either with an expanded playoffs or adding additional games, resulting in what they say is a...

I'm pretty sure the smart people who run these models will be able to account for the portal, save for the extreme tail events like a Colorado. They already quantify a player's recruiting rating, their on the field rating, the player's value above replacement, a coaching staff's ability to coach...

To echo what @slugboy said, Louisville's defense was incredibly productive in 2022. Their final SP+ Defensive rating was 21st. They lead the nation in sacks and sack %, while not having a bona fide stud on the DL. Their LB's accounted for 23 sacks of their 49 sacks. They lost their best LB, DL...

I am excited to see LaMiles Brooks, Clayton Powell-Lee, D'quan Douse, and Andre White Jr. play this year with a full offseason under the new regime. Also excited to see what Kevin Sherrer brings to the table. Sep 1 cannot get here quick enough!

It's interesting that the Ole Miss game seems to be the barometer for our D low point last year. When I was digging into some of the advanced D game by game metrics to see if there was a quantifiable improvement after Collins was fired I was surprised to see the FSU game was much worse...

One of our biggest areas of opportunity to improve is the OL, and specifically the continuity along the OL. Have a look at the OL Continuity stats from '23- we were second to last among P5 teams, and you saw how that affected our offensive success rate. The fact that we are starting the same 5...

Parker Fleming ( @statsowar on Twitter / X / whatever the hell you want to call it) is super sharp. The other two guys, not so much.

Re: on the field talent- GT is entering this year with only 4 players that have a PFF grade of 70+ (Dontae Smith RB, LaMiles Brooks S, Clayton Powell-Lee S, and D'Quan Douse DL). Only Washington St, Indiana, NCST, Nebraska, Texas A&M, Vandy, Northwestern, and Stanford have less. Our 247 4yr...