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  1. ibeattetris

    GT Miami Post Game

    YELLOW!!!! What a great game. I love that formation we ran at the end. Where the QB takes the ball and kneels.
  2. ibeattetris

    Ted Roof

    FEI Defense Ratings (DFEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a defense would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent offense. The relative strength of opponent offenses faced (OOA) is the...
  3. ibeattetris

    UNC 2024 Post Game

    Great win. I think the score isn't indicative of how much we demolished them. Hope King can get well soon.
  4. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    Looks like cfb-graphs is gone, but might have been absorbed by college football insiders (interesting name since football outsiders is now dead). https://www.collegefootballinsiders.com/teams/ I just ran across the today and have been checking it out. I like the match up analyzer...
  5. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    Duke is currently ranked 33 in DFEI. OOA is "opponent offenses faced" and that is rank 101. So really, Duke has performed well, but their opposition has been really poor. Their non-adjusted value is .43 (22nd) and strength of schedule reduces it to .25 (33rd). I have questioned in recent years...
  6. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    We put up those 24 points in 8 drives. Our ninth drive was 8 play 3:40 and left them no time on the clock. 3 points per drive is currently top 25. If you want to count the final drive that 2.67 which isn’t terrible.
  7. ibeattetris

    2024 non-GT games thread

    I hope he's okay, but that was just an incredibly stupid decision. It was the first quarter 6 minutes into the game. No reason to lower head into 4 defenders.
  8. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    Looking at pure W/L rankings, Louisville and Syracuse have bottom 100 strength of schedules right now. If they keep winning, it'll obviously improve, but as of right now they have beaten a whole bunch of nobodies. https://www.colleyrankings.com/currank.html 45. Louisville 0.646122 3-1...
  9. ibeattetris

    Louisville Postgame

    Even giving them 6 points on two possessions, that’s still only 2.3 ppd. I don’t think we should beat our chests over the defense, as they certainly didn’t do enough to outright win. Special teams and offense definitely deserve what blame there is to give for the loss though. Our offense...
  10. ibeattetris

    Louisville Postgame

    We gave up 2.14 points per drive. That isn’t stellar, but it is definitely enough to win. By comparison we gave up 3 ppd and 3.88 ppd to FSU and Cuse respectively. I don’t think our defense is having a good year, but it was not the problem on Saturday.
  11. ibeattetris

    2024 non-GT games thread

    The line looked crazy on this one, and I took Vandy. They've definitely played them well
  12. ibeattetris

    D coordinators

    The defense has given up 17 points today.
  13. ibeattetris

    D coordinators

    The defense gave up 10 points in the first half. Legitimately what else do you want?
  14. ibeattetris

    2024 non-GT games thread

    I wasn't planning on watching any football until GT kicked off. I think I can make an exception for this James Madison game.
  15. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    I am about 99% certain that this is one of the major components PFF grades on. https://www.pff.com/grades A coach is also subjective. The main benefit of the coach is they know the play call and they know what the intended result is. It still sounds like PFF at least tries to get around this...
  16. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    I looked, but so far it seems that the number of possessions are *not* down across FBS compared to last or the previous years. Total number of plays seems to be down though. One thing I want to do later is do a splits based on % of run plays and show how that has influenced total number of...
  17. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    I plan on doing this across NCAA later tonight when I have time. It's easy for a single team in excel, but won't easily scale without me writing a script for it.
  18. ibeattetris

    Analytics post mortem

    2014: 20.2 2015: 22.5 2016: 21 2017: 23.1 2018: 19.4 Even in the final flexbone years we were averaging well more. Clearly, it is only three data points so far this year, but the fact of the matter is we have possessed the ball well below normal, which is going to drive our variance up even...
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