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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 1009824" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Ooops losing 7 of the 9. Us only winning 2. Last night it was one versus Clempy and one versus FSU. How we get swept at home by a lower RPI Duke is beyond me.</p><p></p><p>This morning it's we still win only two but 1 @ Clempy and 1 versus Duke (0 versus @FSU). That is more realistic. And our predicted RPI is 45. Remember that 75% of our RPI is tied up in other teams, so the RPI is very dependent on how they guess the other 300 teams are going to do.</p><p></p><p>Purpose of discussion is that even if we only win 2, the math will have our RPI improve due to better teams we are playing. </p><p></p><p>Predicting individual games is impossible to do accurately. Give me a reliable model which shows us scoring 1 ER in 9.0 innings in one game and 15 ER in 6.0 in another game against the same team in the same place. I like Warren Nolan since it is more comparative than absolute in seeing how the RPI responds and great source of past data. It is worth a bit more than what we pay for it (nothing), but I wouldn't subscribe.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 1009824, member: 322"] Ooops losing 7 of the 9. Us only winning 2. Last night it was one versus Clempy and one versus FSU. How we get swept at home by a lower RPI Duke is beyond me. This morning it's we still win only two but 1 @ Clempy and 1 versus Duke (0 versus @FSU). That is more realistic. And our predicted RPI is 45. Remember that 75% of our RPI is tied up in other teams, so the RPI is very dependent on how they guess the other 300 teams are going to do. Purpose of discussion is that even if we only win 2, the math will have our RPI improve due to better teams we are playing. Predicting individual games is impossible to do accurately. Give me a reliable model which shows us scoring 1 ER in 9.0 innings in one game and 15 ER in 6.0 in another game against the same team in the same place. I like Warren Nolan since it is more comparative than absolute in seeing how the RPI responds and great source of past data. It is worth a bit more than what we pay for it (nothing), but I wouldn't subscribe. [/QUOTE]
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