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<blockquote data-quote="stinger78" data-source="post: 983364" data-attributes="member: 6771"><p>I would not agree that MOV provides a more robust analysis. The reason is too many factors affect MOV. Suppose two otherwise equal teams (A & B) play the same third team (C). Team A wins by 4 TD while Team B wins by 2 TD. I would suggest that the MOV cannot be used to determine that Team A is the better team. The reason(s): </p><p>1. Suppose that the Team A-C game was played in early October on a sunny 70-degree day and the Team B-C game was played in late November in a snowstorm?</p><p>2. Suppose that the Team A-C game involved Team A's QB leaving with a concussion protocol (or other major injury) while the Team B-C game was injury free.</p><p>3. Suppose Team A had a bye week coming up and played his starters well into the 4th quarter, while Team B had a tough next game, pulled his starters, and ran out the clock in the 4th. </p><p>4. Rinse repeat with a myriad of possible confounding factors.</p><p></p><p>The only MOV metric that I would accept is the use of AVG MOV over all games. In that way, the confounding factors would tend to average out over the course of a season, but that is not assured.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="stinger78, post: 983364, member: 6771"] I would not agree that MOV provides a more robust analysis. The reason is too many factors affect MOV. Suppose two otherwise equal teams (A & B) play the same third team (C). Team A wins by 4 TD while Team B wins by 2 TD. I would suggest that the MOV cannot be used to determine that Team A is the better team. The reason(s): 1. Suppose that the Team A-C game was played in early October on a sunny 70-degree day and the Team B-C game was played in late November in a snowstorm? 2. Suppose that the Team A-C game involved Team A's QB leaving with a concussion protocol (or other major injury) while the Team B-C game was injury free. 3. Suppose Team A had a bye week coming up and played his starters well into the 4th quarter, while Team B had a tough next game, pulled his starters, and ran out the clock in the 4th. 4. Rinse repeat with a myriad of possible confounding factors. The only MOV metric that I would accept is the use of AVG MOV over all games. In that way, the confounding factors would tend to average out over the course of a season, but that is not assured. [/QUOTE]
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